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February 22, 2026

Iranian Attack Fears Subside As Mafia War Engulfs Ukraine

By: Sorcha Faal, and as reported to her Western Subscribers

An illuminating new Security Council (SC) report circulating in the Kremlin today first noting top President Donald Trump special envoy Steve Witkoff said about his meetings with President Putin: “He’s never been anything other than straight with me...I say that and I get attacked, but that’s an accurate statement”, says Witcoff then said President Trump was “curious” why Iran hasn’t capitulated while under pressure from an American armada, but about which top Iranian commander Brigadier General Mohammad Jafar Asadi explained: “Our nation knows very well that ships and other armament now deployed in the Persian Gulf and the Sea of ​​Oman waters have been cruising in different parts of the world for years...The deployment of ships in the region has entered the propaganda phase, and the response to such a theatrical move has been well given by our leader”.

As to if and when the United States might attack Iran, this report notes, President Trump previously said about his armada of warships: “You know, they have to float someplace, so they might as well float near Iran”—with Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi visiting Israel for two days this week it’s assured no attack will occur—a senior Iranian official revealed that indirect talks between Iran and the United States are expected in early March, thus negating any chance of an attack while diplomatic efforts continue—and after the White House announced yesterday that President Trump will be visiting China from 31 March to 2 April, it’s a foregone conclusion that no attack will happen on China’s largest oil supplier that would cause this state visit to be cancelled. 

With fears of an imminent United States attack on Iran subsiding, this report continues, a video was just released showing Ermak Petrovsky, the son of feared Ukrainian mafia crime lord Alexander Petrovsky, pleading for his life after he was kidnapped while on vacation in Bali by a rival mafia faction, and he revealed he was beaten, raped, and had his fingers chopped off, and asked his parents to pay a $10 million ransom—and is a Ukrainian mafia war joined with the news: “A woman has been arrested in connection with a suspected terrorist attack that killed a police officer and injured 25 others in the Ukrainian western city of Lviv in the early hours of 22 February”.

After the regional emergency response center in Belgorod announced yesterday: “A Ukrainian drone attacked a car near the village of Krasivo in the Borisovsky district...Two civilians, including a child, were wounded...The man and the three-year-old girl were taken to a hospital with mine-blast traumas and shrapnel wounds”, this report details, Director Alexander Bortnikov of the Federal Security Service (FSB) warned: “Russia will never forget or forgive the crimes committed by the Kiev regime”—a warning followed by the Ukrainian Air Force reporting: “Russia launched a large-scale combined missile and drone attack on Ukraine in the early hours of 22 February...Fifty missiles and 297 long-range kamikaze drones targeted the country, most of them at Kyiv and its suburbs”.

While ignoring the mafia war engulfing Ukraine and the crimes being committed by the corrupt Kiev regime, this report notes, leftist British journalist Simon Tisdall raged today: “For shameless treachery, Trump has no modern equal...Trumpism is all about recreating yesterday, about fantasies of the good old days...Putin suffers similar delusions...The open-minded, freedom-loving rainbow Europe of democracy and the rule of law is a living rebuke to these lumbering Frankenstein’s retro-monsters and their hard-right emulators...Europe must take the fight directly to Putin’s door...And tell Trump to get lost”.

In response to all of the warmongering lunatic leftists in Europe, this report concludes, world-renowned mathematician Dr. Warwick Powell at the Queensland University of Technology in Australia employed the Lanchester Model to compile his report “A Quantitative Analysis of the Russo-Ukrainian War of Attrition”, wherein he documented and assessed:

Attritional warfare, where victory emerges not from decisive manoeuvres but from the sustained erosion of an opponent’s capacity to fight, lends itself to mathematical modelling.

In the Russian-Ukrainian War, now entering its fifth year as of February 2026, the dynamics have shifted decisively toward this mode since mid-2022.  The conflict’s outcome hinges on the relative rates at which each side can replenish losses in personnel, equipment, and munitions compared to the damage inflicted by the adversary.

The core insight from quantifying the war’s attritional phase is that Ukraine’s effective combat power - a composite of manpower, machinery and munitions - is depleting at a net rate that outpaces its replenishment, while Russia’s holds steady or grows marginally.

This imbalance, compounded by recent reductions in Western support, points to a tipping point where Ukrainian force density thins below viability, triggering rapid territorial losses and operational collapse.

Based on integrated projections from November 2025 to February 2026 data, the estimated window for this tipping point is 3-6 months from now (May-August 2026), followed by a 3-4 month cascade to functional exhaustion.

Overall, this yields a 6-9 month horizon to “floodgates opening, where advances accelerate from the current 0.3-1 km/day to 5-10 km/day.

Trajectories vary by data optimism / pessimism.  Using Western-leaning estimates (lower Ukrainian losses, higher aid inflows), the threshold arrives in July 2026, with collapse by October.

The broader implication: the war’s cadence follows a predictable arc in attritional models: slow grind to threshold followed by exponential decay.

This will open the pathway for Russia to successfully push towards, and claim Odessa and perhaps even being in a position to hasten a change of regime in Kiev.

[Note: Some words and/or phrases appearing in quotes in this report are English language approximations of Russian words/phrases having no exact counterpart.]

 

 

 

 

 

February 22, 2026 © EU and US all rights reserved. Permission to use this report in its entirety is granted under the condition it is linked to its original source at WhatDoesItMean.Com. Freebase content licensed under CC-BY and GFDL.

[Note: Many governments and their intelligence services actively campaign against the information found in these reports so as not to alarm their citizens about  the many catastrophic Earth changes and events to come, a stance that the Sisters of Sorcha Faal strongly disagree with in believing that it is every human being’s right to know the truth. Due to our mission’s conflicts with that of those governments, the responses of their ‘agents’ has been a longstanding misinformation/misdirection campaign designed to discredit us, and others like us, that is exampled in numerous places, including HERE.]

[Note: The WhatDoesItMean.com website was created for and donated to the Sisters of Sorcha Faal in 2003 by a small group of American computer experts led by the late global technology guru Wayne Green (1922-2013) to counter the propaganda being used by the West to promote their illegal 2003 invasion of Iraq.]

[Note: The word Kremlin (fortress inside a city) as used in this report refers to Russian citadels, including in Moscow, having cathedrals wherein female Schema monks (Orthodox nuns) reside, many of whom are devoted to the mission of the Sisters of Sorcha Faal.]

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